Who will win in the Lewes Constituency?

The General Election is just weeks away, on the 4th July…… But who will win in Lewes?

The chart above shows the state of the parties in the 2019 election

The General Election is just weeks away, on the 4th July……

But who will win in Lewes?

In the elections of 2015. 2017 and 2019 the Conservatives won with the Liberal Democrats hot on their heels. Both parties were many thousands ahead of the other parties. So, it looks like a battle between the Tories and the Lib Dems.

However, we have to remember this is a First Past The Post election where the winner takes all, even if they are just a handful of votes ahead of the rest. This means if the Green and Labour parties put in a good showing, then the Conservatives could easily retain the seat. On the other hand, if the Reform Party does in fact put in nomination papers for their candidate, then the Conservatives are likely to suffer. No doubt the campaign will hot up in June!

Here is a guide to the results of the 2019 election:

The Conservatives won in 2019 with 2,457 votes, – just 4.50% margin. This was down by 5.7% from the 2017 election.:

Data from Wikipedia

Who will be standing ? The official registered candidates are:

  • Conservative
  • First UK Non-Political Party
  • Green
  • Labour
  • Liberal Democrats
  • Reform UK
  • Social Democratic Party

More information:

Liberal Democrat Manifesto 2024: with a summary of policies and link to the full document

About James MacCleary – Liberal Democrat Parliamentary Candidate for the Lewes Constituency